La Liga · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Sevilla
Home
2-1
Full time
Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Rayo Vallecano
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sevilla wins
0
Draws
0
Rayo Vallecano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
25%
40%
Attack
41%
73%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
Sevilla
- Marcao · Muscle Injury
- I. Romero · Knee Injury
- M. Sierra · Shoulder Injury
- M. Bueno · Red Card
- Peque · Hamstring Injury
- I. Munoz · Injury
- J. Guridi · Muscle Injury
- G. Kochorashvili · Calf Injury
Rayo Vallecano
- Luiz Felipe · Knee Injury
- A. Batalla · Broken calfbone
- P. Ciss · Yellow Cards
- R. Nteka · Back Injury
- A. Ratiu · Muscle Injury
- I. Palazon · Muscle Injury
- J. Vertrouwd · Muscle Injury
- J. de Frutos · Red Card
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Sevilla
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Rayo Vallecano
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Sevilla
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Rayo Vallecano
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Sevilla |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sevilla face Rayo Vallecano in La Liga. Sevilla have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Rayo Vallecano have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sevilla, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Rayo Vallecano. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán as part of the La Liga.
