Primera C · Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026
Claypole
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Mercedes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
30%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Claypole wins
0
Draws
0
Mercedes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
53%
13%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Claypole
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Mercedes
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Claypole | Mercedes | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Claypole
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Mercedes
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Mercedes |
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 13 |
Claypole |
31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | -14 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Claypole face Mercedes in Primera C. Claypole have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Mercedes have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 52% probability backing Claypole, home advantage and superior chance creation make Claypole to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Claypole, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Mercedes. Our top recommended betting pick is Claypole Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera C.
