Primera Nacional · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Quilmes
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
San Telmo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
29%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
San Telmo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
25%
53%
Attack
25%
60%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Qui Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 |
| 17 | San San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face San Telmo in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). San Telmo have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 54% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Quilmes, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for San Telmo. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
