Primera Nacional · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Quilmes
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
San Telmo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
29%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Quilmes v San Telmo pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
San Telmo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Quilmes
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
San Telmo
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Quilmes | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Quilmes
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
83%
Behind
17%
San Telmo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 16 |
San Telmo |
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face San Telmo in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). San Telmo have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 54% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Quilmes, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for San Telmo. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
