USL League One · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Charlotte Independence
Home
3-1
Full time
American Legion Memorial Stadium
Sarasota Paradise
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
22%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Charlotte Independence v Sarasota Paradise pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Charlotte Independence wins
0
Draws
0
Sarasota Paradise wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
13%
60%
Attack
13%
40%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Charlotte Independence
last 7 at home
5W
0D
2L
2.14
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Sarasota Paradise
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Charlotte Independence | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Charlotte Independence
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Sarasota Paradise
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Charlotte Independence |
30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 11 |
Sarasota Paradise |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Charlotte Independence face Sarasota Paradise in USL League One. Charlotte Independence have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). Sarasota Paradise have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Charlotte Independence, home advantage and superior chance creation make Charlotte Independence to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Charlotte Independence, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Sarasota Paradise. Our top recommended betting pick is Charlotte Independence Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium as part of the USL League One.
