Liga MX · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Atlante FC
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Banorte
Toluca
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlante FC wins
1
Draws
0
Toluca wins
10 Jul 2026
Atlante FC
3 - 3
Toluca
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
40%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
32%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Atlante FC
last 3 at home
0W
3D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Toluca
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atlante FC | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Atlante FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Toluca
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
14%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlante FC face Toluca in Liga MX. Atlante FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Toluca have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Atlante FC won 0, Toluca won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Toluca's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Toluca to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Atlante FC, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Toluca. Our top recommended betting pick is Toluca Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte as part of the Liga MX.
