Liga Nacional · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Guastatoya
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Municipal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
34%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guastatoya wins
0
Draws
0
Municipal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
86%
55%
Attack
53%
77%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Guastatoya
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Municipal
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Guastatoya | Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Guastatoya
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Municipal
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Guastatoya face Municipal in Liga Nacional. Guastatoya have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Municipal have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 45% probability backing Guastatoya, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guastatoya to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Guastatoya, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Municipal. Our top recommended betting pick is Guastatoya Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Nacional.
