Serie A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Sao Paulo
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Do MorumBIS
Coritiba
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
25%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sao Paulo wins
0
Draws
0
Coritiba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
25%
50%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Sao Paulo
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Coritiba
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Sao Paulo | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Sao Paulo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
Coritiba
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Sao Paulo |
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sao Paulo face Coritiba in Serie A. Sao Paulo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.5 points per game). Coritiba have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 25% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sao Paulo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Coritiba. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Do MorumBIS as part of the Serie A.
