Primera División · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Alianza Lima
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
UTC Cajamarca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
12%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alianza Lima wins
0
Draws
0
UTC Cajamarca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
58%
46%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
6%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ali Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 18 | UTC UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza Lima face UTC Cajamarca in Primera División. Alianza Lima have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). UTC Cajamarca have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 82% probability backing Alianza Lima, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alianza Lima to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Alianza Lima, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for UTC Cajamarca. Our top recommended betting pick is Alianza Lima Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva as part of the Primera División.
