Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Cancún
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Durango
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
29%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cancún wins
0
Draws
0
Durango wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
22%
13%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Cancún
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Durango
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Cancún | Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Cancún
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Durango
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cancún face Durango in Liga de Expansión MX. Cancún have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). Durango have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Cancún, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cancún to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Cancún, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Durango. Our top recommended betting pick is Cancún Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
