USL Championship · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
New Mexico United
Home
1-0
Full time
Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
FC Tulsa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
25%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New Mexico United wins
0
Draws
0
FC Tulsa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
66%
93%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
New Mexico United
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
FC Tulsa
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| New Mexico United | FC Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
New Mexico United
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
FC Tulsa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |
FC Tulsa |
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New Mexico United face FC Tulsa in USL Championship. New Mexico United have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 4 (3 points per game). FC Tulsa have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing New Mexico United, home advantage and superior chance creation make New Mexico United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for New Mexico United, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for FC Tulsa. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park as part of the USL Championship.
