USL Championship · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Orange County SC
Home
2-3
Full time
Championship Soccer Stadium
Louisville City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
18%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Orange County SC wins
0
Draws
0
Louisville City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Orange County SC
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Louisville City
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Orange County SC | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Orange County SC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
63%
Behind
13%
Louisville City
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
63%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Louisville City |
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 9 |
Orange County SC |
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Orange County SC face Louisville City in USL Championship. Orange County SC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Louisville City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 61% probability backing Orange County SC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Orange County SC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Orange County SC, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Louisville City. Our top recommended betting pick is Orange County SC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
