Liga MX · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Atlas
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Jalisco
Tigres UANL
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
21%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlas wins
0
Draws
0
Tigres UANL wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
Atlas
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Tigres UANL
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Atlas | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Atlas
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Tigres UANL
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlas face Tigres UANL in Liga MX. Atlas have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Tigres UANL have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Tigres UANL's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tigres UANL to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Atlas, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Tigres UANL. Our top recommended betting pick is Tigres UANL Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 03:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco as part of the Liga MX.
