Eliteserien · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Aalesund
Home
5-5
Full time
Color Line Stadion
Valerenga
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
16%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aalesund wins
0
Draws
1
Valerenga wins
16 Jul 2026
Valerenga
6 - 1
Aalesund
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
66%
6%
Defence
20%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
70%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Aalesund
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Valerenga
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Aalesund | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Aalesund
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Valerenga
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Valerenga |
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 |
Aalesund |
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Aalesund face Valerenga in Eliteserien. Aalesund have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 14 (1 points per game). Valerenga have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aalesund won 0, Valerenga won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 70% probability backing Aalesund, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aalesund to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Aalesund, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Valerenga. Our top recommended betting pick is Aalesund Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion as part of the Eliteserien.
