Segunda Liga · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Amarante
Home
0-1
Full time
Amarante Stadium
Lusitânia Lourosa
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
30%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.78
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Amarante wins
0
Draws
0
Lusitânia Lourosa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
33%
22%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Amarante
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Amarante | Lusitânia Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Amarante
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Lusitânia Lourosa
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Amarante face Lusitânia Lourosa in Segunda Liga. Amarante have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0 points per game). Lusitânia Lourosa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
Lusitânia Lourosa's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Lusitânia Lourosa to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Amarante, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Lusitânia Lourosa. Our top recommended betting pick is Lusitânia Lourosa Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.78 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium as part of the Segunda Liga.
