Cup · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Riga
Home
4-1
Full time
Skonto stadions
Metta / LU
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Riga wins
0
Draws
0
Metta / LU wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
86%
95%
Attack
95%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Riga
last 8 at home
8W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.38
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Metta / LU
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Riga | Metta / LU | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Riga
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Metta / LU
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
0%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Riga face Metta / LU in Cup. Riga have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Metta / LU have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 30 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Riga, home advantage and superior chance creation make Riga to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Riga, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Metta / LU. Our top recommended betting pick is Riga Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Skonto stadions as part of the Cup.
