Serie A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Chapecoense-sc
Home
3-3
Full time
Arena Condá
Bahia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
24%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
0
Draws
1
Bahia wins
18 Jul 2026
Bahia
2 - 0
Chapecoense-sc
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
56%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Chapecoense-sc
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Bahia
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Chapecoense-sc | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Chapecoense-sc
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
17%
Behind
83%
Bahia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Bahia |
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +5 | 53 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chapecoense-sc face Bahia in Serie A. Chapecoense-sc have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game). Bahia have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Chapecoense-sc won 0, Bahia won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Chapecoense-sc, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chapecoense-sc to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Chapecoense-sc, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Bahia. Our top recommended betting pick is Chapecoense-sc Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Condá as part of the Serie A.
