Allsvenskan · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Gais
Home
0-1
Full time
Gamla Ullevi
Malmo FF
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
26%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gais wins
0
Draws
0
Malmo FF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
24%
Team news
Gais
- F. Beckman · Yellow Cards
- K. Holmen · Knee Injury
- H. Sletsjoe · Inactive
- B. Asumang · Illness
- D. Collander · Inactive
- C. Gravius · Inactive
- R. Thorkelsson · Knee Injury
- W. Milovanovic · Yellow Cards
Malmo FF
- P. Jansson · Knee Injury
- O. Sjostrand · Knee Injury
- K. Busuladzic · Injury
- N. John · Inactive
- W. Kamanzi · Muscle Injury
- I. Assibu · Inactive
- T. Lundbergh · Yellow Cards
- A. Hoog · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Gais
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Malmo FF
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Gais | Malmo FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Gais
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
75%
Behind
13%
Malmo FF
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gais face Malmo FF in Allsvenskan. Gais have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Malmo FF have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Gais, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gais to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Gais, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Malmo FF. Our top recommended betting pick is Gais Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi as part of the Allsvenskan.
