Segunda Liga · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Leixoes
Home
1-0
Full time
Estádio do Mar
Tondela
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Leixoes v Tondela pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leixoes wins
0
Draws
0
Tondela wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Leixoes
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Tondela
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Leixoes | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Leixoes
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Tondela
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leixoes face Tondela in Segunda Liga. Leixoes have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). Tondela have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 83% probability backing Leixoes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leixoes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Leixoes, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Tondela. Our top recommended betting pick is Leixoes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Mar as part of the Segunda Liga.
