Eredivisie · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Ajax
Home
2-2
Full time
Johan Cruijff Arena
Heerenveen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
19%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ajax wins
0
Draws
0
Heerenveen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
95%
93%
Attack
77%
66%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
18%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ajax face Heerenveen in Eredivisie. Ajax have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Heerenveen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 63% probability backing Ajax, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ajax to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Ajax, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Heerenveen. Our top recommended betting pick is Ajax Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 14:45 (East Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena as part of the Eredivisie.
