Second League - Group 4 · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Home
2-1
Full time
Khimik Stadium
Orenburg II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Khimik Dzerzhinsk wins
0
Draws
0
Orenburg II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
33%
95%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
3.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Orenburg II
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk | Orenburg II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 56% 5/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/9 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
78%
Level
11%
Behind
11%
Orenburg II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
63%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Khimik Dzerzhinsk face Orenburg II in Second League - Group 4. Khimik Dzerzhinsk have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Orenburg II have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Khimik Dzerzhinsk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Khimik Dzerzhinsk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Orenburg II. Our top recommended betting pick is Khimik Dzerzhinsk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Khimik Stadium as part of the Second League - Group 4.
