Cup · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Super Nova
Home
0-1
Full time
Jana Skredela stadions
Rīgas FS
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.24
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
11%
Away
79%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Super Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Rīgas FS wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
79%
Home and away record
Super Nova
last 5 at home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Rīgas FS
last 6 away from home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Super Nova | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Super Nova
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Rīgas FS
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Super Nova face Rīgas FS in Cup. Super Nova have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Rīgas FS have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
Rīgas FS's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 79% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Rīgas FS to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Super Nova, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 79% probability for Rīgas FS. Our top recommended betting pick is Rīgas FS Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions as part of the Cup.
