Primera Nacional · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Tristan Suarez
Home
3-1
Full time
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Almirante Brown
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
34%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
19%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.75
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tristan Suarez wins
0
Draws
0
Almirante Brown wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
60%
46%
Attack
33%
86%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Tristan Suarez
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Almirante Brown
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Tristan Suarez | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 2/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/7 71% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Tristan Suarez
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Almirante Brown
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tristan Suarez |
35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 6 |
Almirante Brown |
35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | +5 | 51 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tristan Suarez face Almirante Brown in Primera Nacional. Tristan Suarez have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Almirante Brown have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 19% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
With a 51% probability backing Tristan Suarez, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tristan Suarez to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Tristan Suarez, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Almirante Brown. Our top recommended betting pick is Tristan Suarez Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.75 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre as part of the Primera Nacional.
