Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Leones Negros UDG
Home
4-0
Full time
Estadio Jalisco
CDS Tampico Madero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leones Negros UDG wins
0
Draws
0
CDS Tampico Madero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
77%
Attack
25%
44%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Leones Negros UDG
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
CDS Tampico Madero
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Leones Negros UDG | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Leones Negros UDG
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
CDS Tampico Madero
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Leones Negros UDG |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 13 |
CDS Tampico Madero |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leones Negros UDG face CDS Tampico Madero in Liga de Expansión MX. Leones Negros UDG have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). CDS Tampico Madero have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 92% probability backing Leones Negros UDG, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leones Negros UDG to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Leones Negros UDG, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for CDS Tampico Madero. Our top recommended betting pick is Leones Negros UDG Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
