Primera División - Apertura · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Defensor Sporting
Home
0-4
Full time
Estadio Luis Franzini
Liverpool Montevideo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
32%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Defensor Sporting wins
0
Draws
0
Liverpool Montevideo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
44%
25%
Attack
22%
58%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Defensor Sporting face Liverpool Montevideo in Primera División - Apertura. Defensor Sporting have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Liverpool Montevideo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 44% probability backing Defensor Sporting, home advantage and superior chance creation make Defensor Sporting to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Defensor Sporting, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Liverpool Montevideo. Our top recommended betting pick is Defensor Sporting Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini as part of the Primera División - Apertura.
