Trophée des Champions · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Lens
Home
1-0
Full time
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Paris Saint Germain
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
63%
1.49
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lens wins
0
Draws
0
Paris Saint Germain wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
44%
75%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Lens
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Paris Saint Germain
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Lens | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Lens
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Paris Saint Germain
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lens face Paris Saint Germain in Trophée des Champions. Lens have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.75 points per game). Paris Saint Germain have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Lens, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Paris Saint Germain. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis as part of the Trophée des Champions.
