AfriPredictions
Serie A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Vasco DA Gama
Home
0-3
Full time
Estádio São Januário
Santos
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
23%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44% 2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67% 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64% 1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65% 1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
W D W D D
2-3-0
W-D-L
4:1
Goals
1.8
PPG
D W L L W
2-1-2
W-D-L
3:5
Goals
1.4
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
0
Draws
0
Santos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60% Recent form 46%
26% Attack 20%
93% Defence 66%
50% Head-to-head 50%
44% Win probability 33%
Team news
Vasco DA Gama
  • C. Cuesta · Hip Injury
  • Mateus Carvalho · Knee Injury
  • Cauan Barros · Leg Injury
  • A. Gomez · Injury
  • M. Hinestroza · Inactive
  • C. Spinelli · Inactive
  • N. Moreira · Inactive
  • Brenner · Knee Injury
Santos
  • Neymar · Suspended
  • Thaciano · Muscle Injury
  • Willian Arao · Muscle Injury
  • Vinicius Lira · Knee Injury
  • G. Escobar · Thigh Injury
  • Gabriel Brazao · Shoulder Injury
  • Joao Schmidt · Yellow Cards
  • Lucas Verissimo · Thigh Injury

Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Home and away record
Vasco DA Gama
last 4 at home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Santos
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last 10 matches.
Vasco DA Gama Santos
38% 3/8 Over 1.5 goals 7/10 70%
25% 2/8 Over 2.5 goals 4/10 40%
25% 2/8 Over 3.5 goals 3/10 30%
38% 3/8 Both teams scored 4/10 40%
50% 4/8 Kept a clean sheet 3/10 30%
50% 4/8 Failed to score 4/10 40%
At half time
Vasco DA Gama
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 13%
Level 63%
Behind 25%
Santos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 20%
Level 50%
Behind 30%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 +1 47
13 Vasco DA Gama 33 11 8 14 -7 41
Match Preview & Analysis

Vasco DA Gama face Santos in Serie A. Vasco DA Gama have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (1.8 points per game). Santos have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).

There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.

With a 44% probability backing Vasco DA Gama, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vasco DA Gama to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Vasco DA Gama, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Santos. Our top recommended betting pick is Vasco DA Gama Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário as part of the Serie A.
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