Serie C · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Caxias
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Figueirense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
30%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caxias wins
0
Draws
0
Figueirense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Caxias
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Figueirense
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Caxias | Figueirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Caxias
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Figueirense
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Caxias face Figueirense in Serie C. Caxias have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Figueirense have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 46% probability backing Caxias, home advantage and superior chance creation make Caxias to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Caxias, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Figueirense. Our top recommended betting pick is Caxias Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile as part of the Serie C.
