Primeira Liga · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Famalicao
Home
1-2
Full time
Estádio Municipal de Famalicão
Marítimo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
21%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Famalicao wins
0
Draws
0
Marítimo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
26%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Famalicao
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Marítimo
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Famalicao | Marítimo | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Famalicao
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Marítimo
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Famalicao face Marítimo in Primeira Liga. Famalicao have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Marítimo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Famalicao, home advantage and superior chance creation make Famalicao to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Famalicao, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Marítimo. Our top recommended betting pick is Famalicao Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão as part of the Primeira Liga.
