Primera Nacional · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Central Norte
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
30%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Central Norte wins
0
Draws
0
Gimnasia Y Tiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
86%
26%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Central Norte
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Gimnasia Y Tiro
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Central Norte | Gimnasia Y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Central Norte
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Gimnasia Y Tiro
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Gimnasia Y Tiro |
35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | +3 | 52 |
| 14 |
Central Norte |
35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Central Norte face Gimnasia Y Tiro in Primera Nacional. Central Norte have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Gimnasia Y Tiro have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Gimnasia Y Tiro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Gimnasia Y Tiro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Central Norte, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Gimnasia Y Tiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Gimnasia Y Tiro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena as part of the Primera Nacional.
