Torneo Federal A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Home
1-1
Full time
Jose Maria Paz
San Martin Formosa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy wins
0
Draws
0
San Martin Formosa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
20%
Attack
60%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
San Martin Formosa
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 2/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
San Martin Formosa
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gimnasia Chivilcoy face San Martin Formosa in Torneo Federal A. Gimnasia Chivilcoy have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.2 points per game). San Martin Formosa have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Gimnasia Chivilcoy, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gimnasia Chivilcoy to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Gimnasia Chivilcoy, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for San Martin Formosa. Our top recommended betting pick is Gimnasia Chivilcoy Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz as part of the Torneo Federal A.
