Torneo Federal A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Villa Mitre
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio El Fortin
Alvarado
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
11%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Villa Mitre wins
0
Draws
0
Alvarado wins
28 Jun 2026
Villa Mitre
1 - 0
Alvarado
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
93%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Villa Mitre
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Alvarado
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Villa Mitre | Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Villa Mitre
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Alvarado
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Villa Mitre face Alvarado in Torneo Federal A. Villa Mitre have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Alvarado have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Villa Mitre won 1, Alvarado won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 11% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Villa Mitre, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Alvarado. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin as part of the Torneo Federal A.
