Primera Nacional · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
San Martin Tucuman
Home
2-2
Full time
Estadio La Ciudadela
Deportivo Madryn
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Martin Tucuman wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Madryn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
San Martin Tucuman
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Deportivo Madryn
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| San Martin Tucuman | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
San Martin Tucuman
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Deportivo Madryn
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Deportivo Madryn |
35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
| 10 |
San Martin Tucuman |
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Martin Tucuman face Deportivo Madryn in Primera Nacional. San Martin Tucuman have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Deportivo Madryn have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for San Martin Tucuman, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Deportivo Madryn. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela as part of the Primera Nacional.
