Serie A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Vitoria
Home
1-0
Full time
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Botafogo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
24%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitoria wins
1
Draws
0
Botafogo wins
24 Jul 2026
Botafogo
0 - 0
Vitoria
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
26%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
22%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Vitoria
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Botafogo
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Vitoria | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/7 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 71% 5/7 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Vitoria
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
Botafogo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 |
Vitoria |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria face Botafogo in Serie A. Vitoria have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game). Botafogo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Vitoria won 0, Botafogo won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Botafogo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Botafogo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Vitoria, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Botafogo. Our top recommended betting pick is Botafogo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Manoel Barradas as part of the Serie A.
