Serie B · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
America Mineiro
Home
1-3
Full time
Arena Independência
Athletic Club
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
America Mineiro wins
0
Draws
0
Athletic Club wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
America Mineiro
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Athletic Club
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
2.63
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| America Mineiro | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
America Mineiro
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
63%
Behind
13%
Athletic Club
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Athletic Club |
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 47 |
| 19 |
America Mineiro |
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -28 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
America Mineiro face Athletic Club in Serie B. America Mineiro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Athletic Club have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing America Mineiro, home advantage and superior chance creation make America Mineiro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for America Mineiro, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Athletic Club. Our top recommended betting pick is America Mineiro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Independência as part of the Serie B.
