Major League Soccer · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
New York City FC
Home
2-3
Full time
Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the New York City FC v Philadelphia Union pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New York City FC wins
0
Draws
0
Philadelphia Union wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
New York City FC
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Philadelphia Union
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| New York City FC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
New York City FC
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Philadelphia Union
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +14 | 50 |
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New York City FC face Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer. New York City FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Philadelphia Union have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for New York City FC, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Philadelphia Union. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
