Primera B · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Union Magdalena
Home
22:00
d ::
Estadio Sierra Nevada
Leones FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
24%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union Magdalena wins
0
Draws
0
Leones FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Uni Union Magdalena | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Leo Leones FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Union Magdalena face Leones FC in Primera B. Union Magdalena have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Leones FC have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 63% probability backing Union Magdalena, home advantage and superior chance creation make Union Magdalena to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Union Magdalena, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Leones FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Magdalena Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada as part of the Primera B.
