Serie A · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Corinthians
Home
1-2
Full time
Neo Química Arena
Cruzeiro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.3 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
25%
Draw
28%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Corinthians wins
0
Draws
0
Cruzeiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
26%
Attack
46%
80%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
25%
Win probability
47%
Team news
Corinthians
- M. Depay · Inactive
- Gabriel Paulista · Inactive
- Raniele · Inactive
- Kayke · Knee Injury
- Matheuzinho · Yellow Cards
- Alex Santana · Inactive
- Z. Labyad · Knee Injury
- J. Lingard · Yellow Cards
Cruzeiro
- L. Sinisterra · Muscle Injury
- L. Villalba · Yellow Cards
- William Furtado · Yellow Cards
- Joao Marcelo · Injury
- Matheus Pereira · Yellow Cards
- Gabriel Pec · Broken Leg
- Felipe Morais · Muscle Injury
- N. Villarreal · Ankle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Corinthians
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Cruzeiro
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Corinthians | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Corinthians
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Cruzeiro
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Cruzeiro |
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 60 |
| 17 |
Corinthians |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Corinthians face Cruzeiro in Serie A. Corinthians have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Cruzeiro have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Cruzeiro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Cruzeiro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 25% win probability for Corinthians, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Cruzeiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruzeiro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena as part of the Serie A.
