USL League One · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Portland Hearts of Pine
Home
1-2
Full time
Fitzpatrick Stadium
Forward Madison
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
20%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portland Hearts of Pine wins
0
Draws
0
Forward Madison wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
80%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Portland Hearts of Pine
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Forward Madison
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Portland Hearts of Pine
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Forward Madison
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
78%
Level
11%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Forward Madison |
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 14 |
Portland Hearts of Pine |
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Portland Hearts of Pine face Forward Madison in USL League One. Portland Hearts of Pine have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game). Forward Madison have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 65% probability backing Portland Hearts of Pine, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portland Hearts of Pine to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Portland Hearts of Pine, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Forward Madison. Our top recommended betting pick is Portland Hearts of Pine Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium as part of the USL League One.
