Liga MX · Monday, 17 Aug 2026
Santos Laguna
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Corona
Guadalajara Chivas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.25
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.15
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
14%
Away
75%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
75%
1.25
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santos Laguna wins
0
Draws
0
Guadalajara Chivas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
75%
Home and away record
Santos Laguna
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Guadalajara Chivas
last 4 away from home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Santos Laguna | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Santos Laguna
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Guadalajara Chivas
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Guadalajara Chivas |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +11 | 30 |
| 6 |
Santos Laguna |
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | +3 | 25 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Santos Laguna face Guadalajara Chivas in Liga MX. Santos Laguna have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Guadalajara Chivas have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Guadalajara Chivas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 75% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Guadalajara Chivas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Santos Laguna, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 75% probability for Guadalajara Chivas. Our top recommended betting pick is Guadalajara Chivas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 17 Aug 2026 at 01:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Corona as part of the Liga MX.
