Veikkausliiga · Monday, 17 Aug 2026
Gnistan
Home
3-2
Full time
Markku.fi Areena
Ilves
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
16%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Gnistan v Ilves pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gnistan wins
0
Draws
0
Ilves wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Gnistan
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Ilves
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gnistan | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Gnistan
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Ilves
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gnistan face Ilves in Veikkausliiga. Gnistan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Ilves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 67% probability backing Gnistan, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gnistan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Gnistan, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Ilves. Our top recommended betting pick is Gnistan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 17 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena as part of the Veikkausliiga.
