Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday, 17 Aug 2026
Lanus
Home
1-3
Full time
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Independiente
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
27%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Lanus v Independiente pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lanus wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
20%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Lanus
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Independiente
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Lanus | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Lanus
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Independiente
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Lanus |
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 50 |
| 13 |
Independiente |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lanus face Independiente in Liga Profesional Argentina. Lanus have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Independiente have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Lanus, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lanus to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Lanus, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Independiente. Our top recommended betting pick is Lanus Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 17 Aug 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
