Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday, 17 Aug 2026
Velez Sarsfield
Home
1-1
Full time
Jose Amalfitani
Defensa Y Justicia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
22%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Velez Sarsfield wins
0
Draws
0
Defensa Y Justicia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
46%
50%
Attack
40%
83%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Velez Sarsfield
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Defensa Y Justicia
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Velez Sarsfield | Defensa Y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Velez Sarsfield
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Defensa Y Justicia
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Velez Sarsfield |
32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | +14 | 56 |
| 14 |
Defensa Y Justicia |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Velez Sarsfield face Defensa Y Justicia in Liga Profesional Argentina. Velez Sarsfield have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.5 points per game). Defensa Y Justicia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 66% probability backing Velez Sarsfield, home advantage and superior chance creation make Velez Sarsfield to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Velez Sarsfield, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Defensa Y Justicia. Our top recommended betting pick is Velez Sarsfield Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 17 Aug 2026 at 22:15 (East Africa Time) at Jose Amalfitani as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
