Coppa Italia · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Benevento
Home
4-1
Full time
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
10%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Benevento wins
0
Draws
0
Fiorentina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
53%
91%
Attack
46%
50%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Benevento
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Fiorentina
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Benevento | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Benevento
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Fiorentina
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Benevento face Fiorentina in Coppa Italia. Benevento have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.5 points per game). Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 79% probability backing Benevento, home advantage and superior chance creation make Benevento to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Benevento, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Fiorentina. Our top recommended betting pick is Benevento Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi as part of the Coppa Italia.
