Liga MX · Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026
Necaxa
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Victoria
Leon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
22%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Necaxa wins
0
Draws
0
Leon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
40%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
28%
Match Preview & Analysis
Necaxa face Leon in Liga MX. Necaxa have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Leon have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 50% probability backing Necaxa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Necaxa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Necaxa, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Leon. Our top recommended betting pick is Necaxa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria as part of the Liga MX.
