Cup · Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026
Akhmat
Home
2-1
Full time
Akhmat-Arena
Fakel
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
34%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Akhmat wins
1
Draws
0
Fakel wins
10 Aug 2026
Fakel
0 - 0
Akhmat
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
6%
20%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
44%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Akhmat
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Fakel
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Akhmat | Fakel | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Akhmat
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Fakel
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
86%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Akhmat face Fakel in Cup. Akhmat have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game). Fakel have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Akhmat won 0, Fakel won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 44% probability backing Akhmat, home advantage and superior chance creation make Akhmat to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Akhmat, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Fakel. Our top recommended betting pick is Akhmat Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena as part of the Cup.
