National League - North · Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026
Hednesford Town
Home
2-2
Full time
Keys Park
Southport
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
26%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hednesford Town wins
0
Draws
0
Southport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
33%
50%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Hednesford Town
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Southport
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Hednesford Town | Southport | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Hednesford Town
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Southport
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Hednesford Town |
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 23 |
Southport |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hednesford Town face Southport in National League - North. Hednesford Town have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.75 points per game). Southport have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With a 63% probability backing Hednesford Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hednesford Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Hednesford Town, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Southport. Our top recommended betting pick is Hednesford Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 18 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Keys Park as part of the National League - North.
