Serie B · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Nautico Recife
Home
1-0
Full time
Estádio dos Aflitos
Ceara
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nautico Recife wins
0
Draws
0
Ceara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Nautico Recife
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Ceara
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Nautico Recife | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Nautico Recife
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Ceara
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |
Ceara |
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nautico Recife face Ceara in Serie B. Nautico Recife have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Ceara have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Nautico Recife, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nautico Recife to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Nautico Recife, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Ceara. Our top recommended betting pick is Nautico Recife Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio dos Aflitos as part of the Serie B.
