III Liga - Group 4 · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Jarosław
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
10%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg wins
0
Draws
0
Jarosław wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Jarosław
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 7/7 100% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Jarosław
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 |
Jarosław |
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Siarka Tarnobrzeg face Jarosław in III Liga - Group 4. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Jarosław have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Siarka Tarnobrzeg, home advantage and superior chance creation make Siarka Tarnobrzeg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Jarosław. Our top recommended betting pick is Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
