III Liga - Group 2 · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Kalisz
Home
0-1
Full time
Stadion Miejski
Noteć Czarnków
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.25
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.5 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
75%
Draw
16%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
75%
1.25
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.2
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kalisz wins
0
Draws
0
Noteć Czarnków wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
25%
40%
Attack
50%
60%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
75%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Kalisz
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Noteć Czarnków
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Kalisz | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Kalisz
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Noteć Czarnków
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Noteć Czarnków |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |
Kalisz |
16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kalisz face Noteć Czarnków in III Liga - Group 2. Kalisz have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Noteć Czarnków have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 75% probability backing Kalisz, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kalisz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 75% win probability for Kalisz, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Noteć Czarnków. Our top recommended betting pick is Kalisz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.2 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski as part of the III Liga - Group 2.
