Serie B · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Avai
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio da Ressacada
Sport Recife
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
9%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Avai wins
0
Draws
0
Sport Recife wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Avai
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Sport Recife
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Avai | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Avai
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Sport Recife
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sport Recife |
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 |
| 17 |
Avai |
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Avai face Sport Recife in Serie B. Avai have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Sport Recife have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Avai, home advantage and superior chance creation make Avai to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Avai, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Sport Recife. Our top recommended betting pick is Avai Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada as part of the Serie B.
